Saturday, August 29, 2015
Iran my response to the statesman.
Defazio is a classy statesman. Merkely may not have defined his answer, or may have responded to me in a way to avoid upsetting a constituent. Wyden has responded today with a Merkely like response. Wyden is on the Senate Intelligence Committee and probably has more information to scrutinize than some of his colleagues.
Defazio is very optimistic. I appreciate someone who has not lost his zeal for belief in positive outcomes. Israel and its citizens don't agree it is in their best interests, like Defazio, to go with this deal. The premise is that Iran will honor their side of the deal.
Defazio claims the deal would have the Arak reactor filled with concrete. Russia is hoping to repurpose it. And Iran's Atomic energy head claims that Secretary of State Kerry was mistaken to make this assertion.
- http://sputniknews.com/politics/20150814/1025739066.html
- http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=248634
So I take this as Defazio taking the Obama administration information without further investigation. The claims of dismantling components and our ability to detect any rebuilding efforts rely heavily on our intelligence community. This is the same intelligence community that found weapons facilities in Iraq before our invasion. While that appears to be a slam on our intelligence community it is a fact that we don't always have all the facts. As Prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said, just like North Korea, we will know Iran has the bomb when we detect their first test.
We have been through this before with North Korea Mr. Defazio. Our talks and inspectors ended with North Korea still getting the bomb and our relationship with them abysmal. Our military suggests that increasing their breakout time is the best option. I agree. However I disagree that a deal Iran likely won't follow, and that lifts economic barriers, is the answer.
Israel bombed the nuclear facility in Iraq. Many said it would further the resolve of the Iraqi's and not delay Iraq more than a year. Iraq never recovered their program. A military option also puts more pressure on getting a good deal. So your assertion that it will only delay them a few years doesn't follow historical references. It also doesn't address how long this deal will stop an unwilling Iran. Wouldn't the option be a military one if Iran doesn't follow the deal. if Iran gets the bomb do we even have a military option anymore?
Sanctions unilaterally may not have brought Iran to the negotiating table but they made our stance clear. The international community likely wants access to Iran's oil. Greed is a factor that I do not want to impact our security. I believe we do not follow our allies because they make a choice, but when they are correct. To follow those allies because they are wavoring is a poor decision. Following them also ignores Israel and our obligation to them as an ally.
You can not say sanctions will be snapped back into place quickly. As we do not control our allies decisions and we can not implement them quickly. Evidence will be needed to prove Iran did something wrong. I.E. Iran can back out of the deal and we would have no good evidence that Iran is doing anything wrong. We can back door sanction them for violating the Nuclear proliferation treaty, or for using oil to sponsor terrorism, but these sanctions are not going to be as impact as the ones currently in place. The concern is the 'snapback' will be impeded by Russia or China.
http://www.businessinsider.com/us-worried-iran-sanctions-wont-snapback-2015-5
To make it clear I do not want Iran to have a R&D program of any kind. As long as they are a state sponsor of terrorism and hold American's hostage in their country where is the good faith?
we do disagree, and so do some of Defazio's fellow party members.
Schumer and Menendez both believe this is not the right deal. Schumer states plainly he doesn't trust Iran to live up to the deal. Given the evidence on hand, and what the Ayatollah has said to his own people, why would we?
- http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/iran-nuclear-talks/democrat-senator-chuck-schumer-oppose-president-obamas-iran-nuclear-deal-n405671
- http://www.cnn.com/2015/08/18/politics/bob-menendez-corker-iran-nuclear-deal/index.html
Making matters worse is the fact the deal keeps showing new provisions that puts more trust in Iran. Provisions that allow Iran to inspect itself, and take pictures of nuclear sites and send them in. The logic may be that if we trust Iran they will rise to the occasion. It is leaving a jar full of cookies in my daughters room and telling her to restrain herself, you and I both know the outcome. Even if I tell her I will punish her, the pull for the cookie is most likely too strong. Similarly the pull to the bomb with self monitoring will not work.
- http://aclj.org/middle-east/how-the-iranian-nuclear-deal-keeps-getting-worse?utm_medium=Email&utm_source=ExactTarget&utm_campaign=newsletter
Our politicians are playing a dangerous game that has Cuban Missile crises like risk. We need to unite and not try to achieve an ideological goal of the Obama administration. We need security and peace that we agree. I wish we agreed on how to get there.
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